My first impression when I read the title was that the "big plan" failing would be about our plan for bull market year 2025 or something, lol.

Well, Trump is a gambler. But if he wants interests lower to pay out more debt, that may turn against him, since those rates started to go up instead of continuing on a downtrend after Trump taking office, despite his efforts to make them continue on the way down.

I agree with what you said, that if they don't strike some deals soon, this whole tariffs thing will turn against the US and the dollar in a significant way in the medium tern.

I am also familiar with the currency hegemony cycles Ray Dalio has been mentioning for a while now. And yes, USD domination time should be about over according to those cycles. What they can do is extend it by a little bit (that can even mean decades), but USD will drop from its current status sooner or later. It's unavoidable. I don't see BTC taking its place. That would be horrible, considering the wealthy already hold/will hold BTC hostage, and they didn't even forced themselves at all.